In terms of the presidential election, November 2nd, 2004 is not a bright day for progressives. The first half of that is obvious, of course; having George Bush as president for four more years is almost too painful to contemplate.
But the alternative is most definitely not a cause for celebration either. If progressives do help Kerry take the presidency, they will have just succeeded in installing a pro-war politician who has attacked George Bush from the right on issues like Iraq, terrorism, and support for Israel, and who (in coordination with the Democratic party leadership) has thoroughly rejected progressive values and squelched even the most modest forms of dissent within the party. More on that here. That's nothing to celebrate, to say the least.
And Kerry will be able to carry out his declared Bush-like policies (particularly in the realm of foreign and international policy) with scarcely any domestic or international opposition, as I've written before. Progressives who think otherwise are just fooling themselves, in my opinion. I'd love to be wrong on this, but I saw it with my own eyes under Clinton, and I can't see any reason to expect that it would be different this time around. Just the opposite, in fact; the scare that Bush has given liberals and progressives will make them that much more accomodating to Kerry's worst policies than they were to Clinton's.
But the negative effects of this election for progressives go much deeper. I've watched as an entire procession of progressives I've respected in the past have thrown their support to Kerry and--more to the point--have attacked Ralph Nader for his decision to run, tarring him with poll-tested Democratic spin about Republican support, accusing him of being nothing more than an egotist, questioning his sanity or his morals, and far worse. It's possible to disagree with Nader on tactics or judgement without rancor, but in my experience the number of people who've done that is vanishingly small. Instead, the norm has been insults, smear tactics, condescension, and arrogance directed towards Nader and those who are supporting him this year. The low point for me was when I saw Bob Harris "humorously" suggest that the best fate for Nader would be to put him in "a shiny new '65 Corvair" or to strand him on "a seat belt, air bag, and fire hood equipped ice floe." If the image of Ralph Nader's death in a fiery car crash doesn't give you the giggles, well, you just haven't tapped into the 2004 progressive zeitgeist.
This election has also demonstrated just how paper thin progressive support for democracy really is, and how quickly it can change when someone like Nader dares to go against the grain. I've seen one ad running on several progressive sites that actually asks, "What have you done to STOP Ralph Nader?" (emphasis theirs, not mine). Roll that one around in your mind for a while. People like Norman Solomon and FAIR founder Jeff Cohen have made it their mission (and contribution to the Kerry campaign) to discredit and attack Nader; to his shame, Cohen is acting as a consultant to the "Unity Campaign," an initiative whose sole purpose is to undermine Nader. The Orwellian terminology there is particularly telling--"unity" in this case means "unity behind Kerry," or perhaps more accurately, "unity against Nader."
These progressives have offered scarcely any complaint as the Democrats have used dirty tricks to undermine the Nader campaign's efforts to get on the ballot in various states; in fact, the silence has been deafening. Apparently it's an appalling travesty when Republicans do this kind of thing in Florida, but it's perfectly acceptable otherwise--as long as it's directed at the right target, that is. That's "unity" for you.
And the anti-Nader campaign among progressives goes even further. Respected progressive web sites like Common Dreams have published a seemingly endless stream of hit pieces on Nader, but have allowed hardly a word in defense of Nader or critical of Kerry. FAIR, which found many occasions to criticize media handling of Nader during his presidential bid in 2000, has become mysteriously silent regarding the media's treatment of Nader in 2004 (e.g. regarding the double standard applied to donations from Republican supporters to Nader and Kerry). The overriding priority among many progressives has been to undercut Nader and to prevent any criticism of Kerry that may possibly have the side effect of reducing his electoral support. It's been quite striking to me--not to mention bitterly ironic--to see just how similar this de facto censorship has been to the de facto censorship we see every day in the corporate media.
In short, the progressive community has revealed that it can be just as opportunistic, venal, anti-democratic, and accomodating to injustice as any other political group in this country. Not that this was news to me...but seeing it in action has been deeply dispiriting.
Sadly, no matter who wins this election, progressives have already lost.